It's the Narrative...
It feels like it is becoming increasingly difficult to disentangle what's really happening in the world from the narratives being propelled by the media. Take this whole circus surrounding the Labour leadership. I make no claims of having any inside knowledge or insight into the situation, but what is clear is that the media has decided upon a narrative which has only one conclusion: that Keir Starmer either steps down or is forced out. It is built upon all those opinion polls showing support the government being eclipsed by other parties and the recent unfavourable local election results. Added to this edifice is the right-wing press's current obsession with the state of the UK's armed forces, (which conveniently ignores the fact that the present situation is the result of fourteen years of swingeing cuts in defence spending by a series of Tory governments that these self same newspapers supported, endorsed and helped sustain in power), the usual nonsense about immigration and the ever present cost of living crisis (also a product of the economic mismanagement of those same previous governments). The problem with this narrative is that it doesn't necessarily conform to reality - those local election results weren't great, but sitting governments often receive such setbacks mid-term. Plus, they have to be taken with the usual provisos that local results are not necessarily directly translatable into national politics - people frequently vote on different issues locally than they do at national level - and that they actually have no bearing upon how the national government operates.
In reality, Reform UK's momentum at national level is stalling and the government are beginning to regain some ground. Moreover, the government has sufficient majority that it doesn't have to go the polls until 2028/29, when the situation could be very different. Furthermore, it remains to be seen how many Labour MPs actually will be willing to translate their dissatisfaction with Starmer's leadership into concrete action to try and force a leadership contest, bearing in mind how difficult it is to remove a sitting Labour Prime Minister under party rules. (Notably, all the figures given by various media outlets as to how many Labour MPs who have supposedly called for his resignation is caveated by the fact that these figures are merely based upon MP's having made some sort of public utterance that could be taken as dissatisfaction with the leadership, rather than reflecting actual actions to trigger a leadership challenge). So it isn't as clear cut as the media would have us believe. But the media loves a story. In fact, it demands that real world events neatly arrange themselves into some kind of narrative with a predictable outcome. But as we all know, real life simply refuses to conform to such artificial forms. Just look at the way in which the Iran-Us war refuses to adhere to the constructed narrative that the US has tried to impose upon it, with Iran stubbornly refusing to capitulate and give Trump the victory he so craves. Much the same can be said of the war in Ukraine, which has likewise refused to follow the Russian narrative which culminates in their swift victory. Of course, these are state driven narratives, not necessarily supported by the media, but all too often, as in the case of the current Labour leadership problems, political narratives are driven by the press, who persist in trying to impose them upon the public, regardless of the actual facts, buoyed up by their feverish speculation. You don't just see it in politics. Here in the UK, the press like nothing better than trying to construct narratives concerning outcomes in the premier league and don't like it when clubs refuse to conform to them, by winning matches they aren't 'supposed' to.
Ultimately, I'm not trying to deny Starmer's problems, or the fact that the local election results are, to say the least, challenging, for the government. In truth, this government has done itself no favours, missing opportunity after opportunity to actually do something radical to galvanise its electoral base. Because that's their biggest problem: a failure to deliver on their manifesto promises. It's no good Starmer announcing yet more policies today in an attempt to shore up his position - he has to start delivering on the policies the government promised in its election pitch. Just pick a handful of policies which would be popular and are achievable and use that parliamentary majority to push then through, regardless of whether the right-wing press like them or not. Because that's what will attract voters - the idea of a government that might actually make decisions and do something beneficial to them. It doesn't matter who the Labour leader is, it matters whether or not they can actually deliver on their promises, regardless of the media's narratives. Which, in spite of what they would have you believe, are not set in stone.
Labels: Media Madness, Musings From the Mind of Doc Sleaze, Political Pillocks
